The free movement of workers, while being one of the EU’s key success stories, remains the topic of heated debates. The project Harnessing European Labour Mobility aims to re-orientate the debate about free movement to the essential question: What can the European Union and individual Member States do in order to facilitate intra-EU labour mobility and maximize its potential for growth and employment? The Institute has among other things contributed with workshop facilitation and scenario analysis for the project.
The new white book builds upon the earlier findings from the ‘ISS 2020 Vision: Scenarios for the future of the global Facility Management Industry’, which concluded that future workplaces will change significantly over the coming decade. The findings of ‘New Ways of Working’ were developed in partnership with IFMA through qualitative research and subject matter expert interviews and several workshops with customers. The study also presents external expert assessments from the Copenhagen Institute for Futures Studies of the strategic themes shaping the future work, the workforce and the workplace towards 2020.
The Copenhagen Institute for Futures Studies and ISS have carried out a study on the future of Facility Management (FM) seen in a global perspective. The study is based on four scenarios where the backbone of the research is a survey involving more than 300 senior executives from ISS and 50 specialists from the Global FM network. Furthermore, the research includes workshops and in-depth interviews with key industry spokespersons.
(International Post Corporation (IPC) - The Senior Executive Forum)
The Senior Executive Forum on Regulation is a regulatory platform for discussion, benchmarking, and steering of regulatory research for the IPC members. This platform operates as a regulatory think tank with a global approach for the postal industry.
Faced with an expected volume decline of 26% on average by 2020 (digital service providers predict a 50% decline in mail), IPC members need to assess the ways in which that trend will impact on their current strategies and how a role can be defined for a successful postal company in 10 years time. In a move to inform that crucial debate, IPC commissioned two studies from the Copenhagen Institute for Futures Studies (CIFS) analysing the trend for mail in the 10 years to 2020. These studies provide a tool for members in their discussions with lawmakers and stakeholders about the future role for the post in the light of expected change.
(Norwegian Oil Industry Association (OLF))
An analysis of how the future of energy demand and production will change in the next 30 years and affect the Norwegian petroleum industry and society at large.
The Norwegian economy is closely tied to oils and gas, with 27% of state revenue coming from the oil sector and the petroleum industry responsible for 22% of GDP in 2010. The management of Norway’s oil resources, through financial discipline and a central wage‐setting structure, has been exemplary. Still Norway is not immune to a future economic setback.
Norway’s challenges include an ageing population, increasing pressure for regulatory reform aimed at improving efficiency of the public sector (currently one of the largest in Europe), and a weakening of the effectiveness of mainland economy. Norway’s investment to transform into a knowledge society has been low compared to the rest of the Scandinavian countries. Norway’s investment into R&D (% of BNP) is equal to that of the Czech Republic, and on average half that of it Scandinavian neighbors.
The analysis documented that if Norway reduced its gas exports to Europe with 30% independent of an established European green infrastructure, then Norway would actually double its indirect CO2 emissions, as Europe would be forced to import gas from Russia.
(The Swedish Agency for Economic and Regional Growth)
SMEs constitute over 95% of the private sector in Sweden and the broader EU and OECD. And it is widely assumed that SMEs are responsible for as much as 70% of all industrial pollution, which means that the future opportunities within environmental innovation are large – with projected market sizes in the trillions of dollars by 2050.
Helping SMEs understand their individual as well as collective environmental impact is essential for future environmental innovations that will help prevent, mitigate, or remediate the impacts of business on the environment.
This report analyses the trends that are driving the need for environmental innovation and describes the risks, challenges, and opportunities of environmental innovation for small and medium-sized enterprises (SMEs). The report concludes with a presentation of scenarios for the development of future environmental innovation and their consequences for Swedish SMEs.
The project serves as a tool for neighbourhood improvement within DK. There is a primary focus on the residences of the 60s and 70s. Because of decay and location, some of them risk entering a negative spiral. But the common focus should be on the needs of the increasing amount of new families and senior citizens.
CIFS and Danske Bank were partners in connection with Danish Conferences of Growth 2005, and the result was 8 region analyses. The theme was: "How can we create growth and innovation in our region?" Creativity and innovation within the different regions was the focus of the conferences and the reports include discussions on the applicable strategies.
The report describes four different ways of relating to your residence and becoming older. It also discusses the consequences of the construction of future residencies for senior citizens. Besides the four scenarios: 'romantics', 'backpacking elderly', 'acrobats of knowledge' and 'local heroes with time and surplus', the report contains a number of statistics and pieces of information about these types of residencies in a historical and contemporary perspective. The report concludes with a reflection on the most significant, developmental tendencies which will undoubtedly influence that particular market in the future.
Today, Europe has a historic opportunity to ensure peace and prosperity through cooperation. However, the continent’s future intra-trade, integration and environment are threatened by a breakdown of traffic. Parts of Europe, especially Germany, are already congested by traffic. Therefore, it is necessary to create a future-oriented traffic system.